Get Used to It!
LONDON — Crude oil rose to $41 a barrel for the first time in more than 13 years. At $41, benchmark U.S. light crude futures are at their loftiest level since the all-time high of $41.15 struck on Oct. 10, 1990, two months after Iraq invaded Kuwait and amid the buildup to the first Gulf war.
The break above $40 for U.S. crude is now in its third day. If dealers get comfortable with prices at those heights for the next week or so there could be an extended run of high-priced oil, said Paul Horsnell of Barclays Capital.
"This is not a spike in the oil price due to a single factor," said Horsnell.
--o erosion in spare oil production capacity,
--o the loss of flexibility in first U.S. and now increasingly global refining
--o massive destabilization in the Middle East,
$40 no longer looks at all outrageous."
World oil demand is proving far stronger than expected, thanks to booming economic growth, the International Energy Agency (search) said on Wednesday. It said incremental fuel consumption this year looked set to outpace growth in every year since 1988.
Other analysts think prices are far above levels justified by supply-demand fundamentals and are overdue a downward correction.
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